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林业研究(英文版) >

2023 , Vol. 34 >Issue 4: 1153 - 1165

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-022-01561-7

  • Jonnathan Céspedes 1 ,
  • Janelle M. Sylvester 1, 2, b ,
  • Lisset Pérez-Marulanda 1, 2 ,
  • Paula Paz-Garcia 1 ,
  • Louis Reymondin 1 ,
  • Mehran Khodadadi 3 ,
  • Jhon J. Tello 1 ,
  • Augusto Castro-Nunez 1
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收稿日期: 2021-10-29

  录用日期: 2022-06-15

  网络出版日期: 2024-10-16

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Has global deforestation accelerated due to the COVID-19 pandemic?

  • Jonnathan Céspedes 1 ,
  • Janelle M. Sylvester 1, 2, b ,
  • Lisset Pérez-Marulanda 1, 2 ,
  • Paula Paz-Garcia 1 ,
  • Louis Reymondin 1 ,
  • Mehran Khodadadi 3 ,
  • Jhon J. Tello 1 ,
  • Augusto Castro-Nunez 1
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  • 1 The Alliance of Bioversity International and International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Km 17 Recta Cali-Palmira, Cali, Colombia
  • 2 Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
  • 3 Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Müncheberg, Germany
b

Received date: 2021-10-29

  Accepted date: 2022-06-15

  Online published: 2024-10-16

Copyright

© The Author(s) 2022
Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
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本文引用格式

Jonnathan Céspedes , Janelle M. Sylvester , Lisset Pérez-Marulanda , Paula Paz-Garcia , Louis Reymondin , Mehran Khodadadi , Jhon J. Tello , Augusto Castro-Nunez . [J]. 林业研究(英文版), 2023 , 34(4) : 1153 -1165 . DOI: 10.1007/s11676-022-01561-7

Abstract

As the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded, questions arose as to whether the pandemic would amplify or pacify tropical deforestation. Early reports warned of increased deforestation rates; however, these studies were limited to a few months in 2020 or to selected regions. To better understand how the pandemic influenced tropical deforestation globally, this study used historical deforestation data (2004–2019) from the Terra-i pantropical land cover change monitoring system to project expected deforestation trends for 2020, which were used to determine whether observed deforestation deviated from expected trajectories after the first COVID-19 cases were reported. Time series analyses were conducted at the regional level for the Americas, Africa and Asia and at the country level for Brazil, Colombia, Peru, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Indonesia. Our results suggest that the pandemic did not alter the course of deforestation trends in some countries (e.g., Brazil, Indonesia), while it did in others (e.g., Peru). We posit the importance of monitoring the long-term effects of the pandemic on deforestation trends as countries prioritize economic recovery in the aftermath of the pandemic.

Key words： Deforestation; COVID-19; Time series; Terra-i; Drivers of deforestation monitoring

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